ISM Services PMI®

Very Positive
CURRENT VALUE
55.4
Data through: August 2026 · updated Sep 4 · Updates: Monthly (third business day of month)
The three bars show the last 3 months (end-of-month values) for this indicator, oldest left to newest right. Bar height reflects each reading relative to the other two — the tallest is the highest of the three, the shortest the lowest.
↑ 2.4% MoM
What this means right now: ISM Services PMI is in strong expansion above 55 — the dominant 80% of the US economy is growing robustly. Consumer spending on services is healthy and employment in the service sector is likely rising. A strongly positive economic signal.
ISM Services PMI® · Monthly · 2026–2026
Grey areas = NBER recessions · Scroll to read · zoom and pan in Expand
Monthly values

ISM Services PMI® — the last 3 months

Every month's reading, with the band the heatmap gives it. The chart above shows the same series in full.

MonthValueBand
Aug 202655.4Very strong reading
Jul 202654.1Healthy reading
Jun 202654.0Healthy reading

Month-end readings of the same series the chart shows, from ism_svc. Values are the current record, not point-in-time: a month that has since been revised shows its revised value.

What is the ISM Svc PMI?

The ISM Services PMI surveys purchasing managers at companies in the service sector — healthcare, finance, retail, hospitality, technology, transportation, and more. Because services account for approximately 80% of US economic activity, the ISM Services PMI is arguably more important than the Manufacturing PMI for assessing the overall health of the US economy.

Like its manufacturing counterpart, readings above 50 indicate that more services companies are reporting expansion than contraction; below 50 means contraction dominates. The Services PMI gained prominence after the 2008 financial crisis revealed that the US economy had fundamentally shifted toward services. During the 2022-2023 period, when manufacturing contracted for 16 months, a resilient Services PMI above 50 helped prevent what many feared would be a recession.

Values on this site are reproduced under an ISM® reprint license, collected forward from the June 2026 report — history here accumulates from that point (no pre-license backfill).

How We Color-Code the ISM Svc PMI

Our heatmap colors each indicator based on historically significant thresholds:

Above 55
Strong services expansion — 80% of economy growing robustly
52 – 55
Solid expansion — services sector growing healthily
50 – 52
Just above the line — modest expansion
48 – 50
Contraction — services sector shrinking, recession risk elevated
Below 48
Sharp contraction — significant recession risk given services dominance

Historical Extremes — What Happened Next?

When this indicator reaches extreme levels, history shows consistent patterns:

Apr 2020COVID Services Shutdown
ISM Svc PMI: 41.8
The sharpest services collapse ever recorded as restaurants, hotels, airlines, and retail were forced to close. Recovered quickly as reopening proceeded.
Nov 2021Reopening Services Boom
ISM Svc PMI: 69.1
The highest ISM Services reading ever recorded — driven by explosive pent-up demand for services as COVID restrictions lifted and consumers spent accumulated savings.
2022-2023Services Resilience vs Mfg Contraction
Svc PMI held above 50 while Mfg below 50 for 16 months
Services resilience prevented recession despite manufacturing weakness — demonstrating how services dominance has changed the economic cycle.

Investor Checklist — Current Reading

Based on the current ISM Svc PMI reading of 55.4 (Very Positive):

Strong services expansion — most positive economic signal for the broad economy
Consumer discretionary, healthcare, financials, and tech all benefit
Strong services may keep inflation elevated — watch CPI and Fed policy

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is the Services PMI more important than Manufacturing PMI?
Services account for approximately 80% of US GDP and employment versus 11% for manufacturing. When the services sector contracts, the economic impact is far larger than equivalent manufacturing weakness. The rise of the services economy has made the ISM Services PMI an increasingly important gauge of overall economic health.
What sectors are included in the ISM Services survey?
The ISM Services survey covers 18 service sectors including accommodation and food services, real estate, professional and business services, healthcare, retail, finance, insurance, transportation, information technology, and government. This broad coverage makes it a comprehensive gauge of non-manufacturing economic activity.
How did the COVID-19 pandemic affect the Services PMI?
COVID had the most dramatic impact on services of any economic event in modern history. The April 2020 Services PMI collapsed to 41.8 as lockdowns shuttered restaurants, hotels, airlines, and retail. The November 2021 reading of 69.1 was the highest ever recorded as pent-up demand for services exploded when restrictions lifted.
Can the economy be in recession if Services PMI stays above 50?
It is very difficult. The 2022-2023 period demonstrated that manufacturing contraction alone (16 consecutive months below 50) was insufficient to cause a recession when services remained in expansion. For a recession to occur, the services sector — which employs 80% of workers — typically needs to contract significantly.
Which sub-index within the Services PMI is most important?
The Business Activity and New Orders sub-indexes are the most forward-looking components. The Employment sub-index is closely watched because services employment is the backbone of the US labor market. The Prices Paid sub-index is important for inflation tracking — services inflation has been stickier than goods inflation in recent years.